Justin Fields Passing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 5

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Justin Fields

NFL · Player Props

Justin Fields

QB · Chicago Bears

Passing Yards

Washington Commanders vs Chicago Bears · Week 5, 2023

Updated Oct 3, 2023 10:51 PM UTC

Analysis

Justin Fields Passing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 203.5 (-115/-113).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 197.5 @ -114 before it was bet up to 203.5 @ -115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Bears are a heavy 7-point underdog this week, likely creating an extreme passing game script.
Justin Fields has passed for significantly more yards per game (227.0) this year than he did last year (149.0).

Favors Under

Given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Bears to pass on 51.0% of their plays: the 2nd-lowest rate on the slate this week.
The leading projections forecast the Bears to run the 3rd-fewest offensive plays on the slate this week with 60.8 plays, based on their underlying traits and game dynamics.
The leading projections forecast Justin Fields to throw 27.2 passes in this contest, on average: the fewest out of all quarterbacks.
The Washington Commanders defense has been quite strong when opposing pass-catchers have gotten into space, yielding an average of 5.06 yards-after-the-catch this year: the 10th-fewest in football.
As it relates to cornerbacks in defending receivers, Washington's unit has been tremendous this year, projecting as the 5th-best in the league.

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