My Account Log Out

reorder

Justin Fields

Justin Fields Passing Yards
Player Prop Week 16

Chicago Bears vs Arizona Cardinals

Justin Fields Passing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 207.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 205.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 207.5 @ -110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Justin Fields's 196.0 adjusted passing yards per game this year shows a meaningful progression in his passing proficiency over last year's 149.0 mark.

Opposing offenses have completed passes at the 5th-highest clip in the NFL vs. the Cardinals defense this year (73.6% Adjusted Completion%).

This year, the porous Arizona Cardinals defense has been torched for the 7th-most adjusted yards-per-target in the NFL to the opposing side: a colossal 8.14 yards.

As it relates to cornerbacks in covering pass-catchers, Arizona's group of CBs has been lousy this year, grading out as the 2nd-worst in the NFL.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

With a 4.5-point advantage, the Bears are favored in this game, indicating more of a reliance on rushing than their normal approach.

Given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Bears to pass on 48.2% of their plays: the lowest clip among all teams this week.

The model projects this game to have the 5th-lowest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 126.7 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

The predictive model expects Justin Fields to attempt 27.5 passes in this week's contest, on average: the 2nd-fewest out of all QBs.

Opposing QBs have averaged 32.1 pass attempts per game versus the Arizona Cardinals defense this year: 4th-fewest in football.

More Justin Fields Player Props

© 2022 EV Analytics | Data by WriteNow™