Justin Fields Passing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 10

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Justin Fields

NFL · Player Props

Justin Fields

QB · Chicago Bears

Passing Yards

Chicago Bears vs Detroit Lions · Week 10, 2022

Updated Nov 13, 2022 5:26 PM UTC

Analysis

Justin Fields Passing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 180.5 (-120/-110).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 37.0 pass attempts per game against the Detroit Lions defense this year: 10th-most in the league.
Opposing quarterbacks have passed for the 7th-most yards in the NFL (270.0 per game) vs. the Detroit Lions defense this year.
Opposing quarterbacks have completed passes at the 6th-highest rate in the league against the Detroit Lions defense this year (73.2%).
The Detroit Lions pass defense has displayed poor efficiency this year, conceding 8.82 yards-per-target: the most in the league.
The Detroit Lions cornerbacks project as the worst collection of CBs in the NFL this year in covering receivers.

Favors Under

The Chicago Bears boast a new play-caller this season in offensive coordinator Luke Getsy, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to lean 7.0% more towards rushing than it did last season (context-neutralized).
The Bears are a 3-point favorite in this game, indicating a rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Chicago Bears as the least pass-heavy team among all teams this week with a 39.7% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects this game to have the lowest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 126.6 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The Chicago Bears have called the 8th-least plays in the NFL this year, totaling a mere 55.9 plays per game.

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