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Justin Fields

Justin Fields Passing Yards
Player Prop Week 1

Chicago Bears vs San Francisco 49ers

 
 
 
Justin Fields Passing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 183.5 (+105/-155).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 194.5 @ -120 before it was bet down to 183.5 @ -155.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Bears are a 6.5-point underdog in this week's game, which points towards a passing game script.
  • Opposing teams have completed passes at the 10th-highest rate in the NFL against the San Francisco 49ers defense since the start of last season (71.9%).
  • The Chicago Bears O-line has allowed their QB 2.51 seconds before getting pressured (10th-best in the league since the start of last season), which has a positive impact on all passing attack stats across the board.
  • The Chicago Bears have gone for it on 4th down 27.3% of the time since the start of last season (3rd-most in the league), which generally means more offensive volume, more touchdown potential, and higher offensive metrics across the board.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • THE BLITZ projects the Chicago Bears as the 5th-least pass-heavy team among all teams this week with a 53.6% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • THE BLITZ projects the Bears to run the 2nd-least offensive plays among all teams this week with 58.9 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
  • THE BLITZ projects Justin Fields to attempt 29.4 passes in this contest, on average: the 4th-least of all QBs.
  • Opposing offenses have averaged 31.1 pass attempts per game against the San Francisco 49ers defense since the start of last season: 5th-least in football.
  • Justin Fields has been among the bottom QBs in the league since the start of last season, averaging 161.0 yards per game while grading out in the 9th percentile.

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