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Justin Fields Interceptions Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (-164/+130).
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
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The Bears are a giant 7.5-point underdog this week, which points towards an extreme passing game script.This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness.Opposing QBs have averaged 37.5 pass attempts per game against the Minnesota Vikings defense this year: 10th-most in football.The Minnesota Vikings defensive tackles rank as the 2nd-worst collection of DTs in the NFL this year when it comes to rushing the passer.The Chicago Bears offensive line has allowed their QB 2.51 seconds before getting pressured (10th-best in the NFL since the start of last season), which has a strong effect on all air attack stats across the board.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
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The Chicago Bears boast a new play-caller this season in offensive coordinator Luke Getsy, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to tilt 5.3% more towards rushing than it did last season (adjusted for context).THE BLITZ projects the Chicago Bears as the 4th-least pass-oriented team on the slate this week with a 52.5% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.THE BLITZ projects the Chicago Bears offense as the 6th-slowest paced team in the league (context-neutralized) at the present time, averaging 29.41 seconds per snap.THE BLITZ projects Justin Fields to attempt 30.3 passes in this week's contest, on average: the least of all QBs.The Chicago Bears O-line grades out as the 3rd-worst in the NFL this year in pass protection, which has a harmful impact on all air attack statistics across the board.
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