Justin Fields Interceptions - Player Prop Bet Week 1

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Justin Fields

NFL · Player Props

Justin Fields

QB · Chicago Bears

Interceptions

Chicago Bears vs San Francisco 49ers · Week 1, 2022

Updated Sep 11, 2022 11:34 PM EST

Analysis

Justin Fields Interceptions Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (-160/+130).

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Bears are a 6.5-point underdog in this week's game, which points towards a passing game script.
The San Francisco 49ers have intercepted 0.54 balls per game since the start of last season, grading out as the 5th-worst defense in the league by this stat
The Chicago Bears O-line has allowed their QB 2.51 seconds before getting pressured (10th-best in the league since the start of last season), which has a positive impact on all passing attack stats across the board.
The Chicago Bears have gone for it on 4th down 27.3% of the time since the start of last season (3rd-most in the league), which generally means more offensive volume, more touchdown potential, and higher offensive metrics across the board.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the Chicago Bears as the 5th-least pass-heavy team among all teams this week with a 53.6% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects the Bears to run the 2nd-least offensive plays among all teams this week with 58.9 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects Justin Fields to attempt 29.4 passes in this contest, on average: the 4th-least of all QBs.
Opposing offenses have averaged 31.1 pass attempts per game against the San Francisco 49ers defense since the start of last season: 5th-least in football.
The San Francisco 49ers linebackers project as the 3rd-best unit in football since the start of last season in covering receivers.

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