Justin Fields Completions - Player Prop Bet Week 5

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Justin Fields

NFL · Player Props

Justin Fields

QB · Chicago Bears

Completions

Washington Commanders vs Chicago Bears · Week 5, 2023

Updated Oct 6, 2023 2:56 AM UTC

Analysis

Justin Fields Completions Prop is currently Over/Under 17.5 (-120/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 17.5 @ +100 before it was bet up to 17.5 @ -120.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Bears are a 6-point underdog in this game, likely leading to a passing game script.

Favors Under

The leading projections forecast the Chicago Bears as the 2nd-least pass-heavy team on the slate this week with a 51.4% pass rate, accounting for their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.
The projections expect the Bears to run the 3rd-fewest offensive plays among all teams this week with 60.7 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
The Bears have called the 10th-fewest plays in the league this year, totaling a measly 55.8 plays per game.
In this week's game, Justin Fields is predicted by the model to total the fewest pass attempts out of all quarterbacks with 27.5.
As it relates to cornerbacks in defending pass-catchers, Washington's group of CBs has been great this year, projecting as the 5th-best in football.

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