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Justin Fields
NFL · Player Props
Justin Fields
QB · Chicago Bears
Completions
Detroit Lions vs Chicago Bears · Week 11, 2023 Updated Nov 20, 2023 12:16 AM UTC
NFL Props Justin Fields Completions

Justin Fields Completions Prop is currently Over/Under 33.5 (-120/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 35.5 @ -120 before it was bet down to 33.5 @ -110.

Favors Over
  • The Bears are a massive 7.5-point underdog this week, likely leading to an extreme passing game script.
  • This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and better passing effectiveness.
  • As it relates to safeties in covering receivers, Detroit's group of safeties has been lousy this year, grading out as the 3rd-worst in the NFL.
Favors Under
  • The projections expect the Chicago Bears as the 6th-least pass-heavy team among all teams this week with a 54.1% pass rate, accounting for their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.
  • Accounting for their underlying propensities and game dynamics, the Bears are anticipated by the projections to call only 60.8 offensive plays in this game: the 2nd-lowest number among all teams this week.
  • The predictive model expects Justin Fields to throw 29.9 passes this week, on average: the fewest among all quarterbacks.
  • When it comes to pass-blocking (and the influence it has on all pass game stats), the offensive line of the Bears ranks as the 10th-worst in football this year.
  • Justin Fields checks in as one of the least on-target passers in the NFL this year with a 60.8% Adjusted Completion%, grading out in the 12th percentile.
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