Justin Fields Completions - Player Prop Bet Week 1

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Justin Fields

NFL · Player Props

Justin Fields

QB · Chicago Bears

Completions

Chicago Bears vs Green Bay Packers · Week 1, 2023

Updated Sep 11, 2023 3:01 AM EST

Analysis

Justin Fields Completions Prop is currently Over/Under 15.5 (+110/-145).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 15.5 @ -130 before it was bet down to 15.5 @ -145.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Opposing teams have completed passes at the 8th-highest rate in the NFL vs. the Green Bay Packers defense since the start of last season (72.8%).
The Green Bay Packers safeties grade out as the worst unit in football since the start of last season in covering receivers.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the Chicago Bears as the least pass-heavy offense among all teams this week with a 45.0% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects this game to have the lowest volume of plays run among all games this week at 118.6 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The Chicago Bears have run the least plays in the NFL since the start of last season, totaling just 52.9 plays per game.
THE BLITZ projects Justin Fields to attempt 24.1 passes in this game, on average: the least of all quarterbacks.
Opposing offenses have averaged 28.1 pass attempts per game against the Green Bay Packers defense since the start of last season: 2nd-least in the league.

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