My Account Log Out

reorder

Justin Fields

Justin Fields Completions
Player Prop Week 5

Minnesota Vikings vs Chicago Bears

Justin Fields Completions Prop is currently Over/Under 14.5 (+110/-140).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 14.5 @ -125 before it was bet down to 14.5 @ -140.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Bears are a giant 7.5-point underdog this week, which points towards an extreme passing game script.

This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness.

Opposing QBs have averaged 37.5 pass attempts per game against the Minnesota Vikings defense this year: 10th-most in football.

Opposing teams have completed passes at the 3rd-highest level in the league vs. the Minnesota Vikings defense this year (75.5%).

The Minnesota Vikings defensive tackles rank as the 2nd-worst collection of DTs in the NFL this year when it comes to rushing the passer.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Chicago Bears boast a new play-caller this season in offensive coordinator Luke Getsy, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to tilt 5.3% more towards rushing than it did last season (adjusted for context).

THE BLITZ projects the Chicago Bears as the 4th-least pass-oriented team on the slate this week with a 52.5% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.

THE BLITZ projects the Chicago Bears offense as the 6th-slowest paced team in the league (context-neutralized) at the present time, averaging 29.41 seconds per snap.

THE BLITZ projects Justin Fields to attempt 30.3 passes in this week's contest, on average: the least of all QBs.

The Chicago Bears O-line grades out as the 3rd-worst in the NFL this year in pass protection, which has a harmful impact on all air attack statistics across the board.

More Justin Fields Player Props

© 2022 EV Analytics | Data by WriteNow™