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Justin Fields

Justin Fields Carries
Player Prop Week 6

Las Vegas Raiders vs Pittsburgh Steelers

 
 
 
Justin Fields Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (-135/+105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 8.5 @ -125 before it was bet up to 8.5 @ -135.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The predictive model expects the Steelers to be the 2nd-most run-oriented team on the slate this week with a 50.2% run rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • The 10th-highest number of plays in the league have been called by the Steelers this year (a whopping 59.8 per game on average).
  • In this week's game, Justin Fields is forecasted by the predictive model to accumulate the 4th-most rush attempts out of all QBs with 8.3.
  • Justin Fields isn't afraid to take off running, taking on 25.9% of his team's carries this year, putting him in the 93rd percentile when it comes to QBs.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and better passing efficiency.
  • The Las Vegas Raiders defensive ends profile as the 3rd-best unit in football this year when it comes to run defense.

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