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Justin Fields

Justin Fields Carries
Player Prop Week 3

Pittsburgh Steelers vs Los Angeles Chargers

Justin Fields Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (-119/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 8.5 @ -109 before it was bet up to 8.5 @ -119.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The projections expect the Pittsburgh Steelers as the most run-oriented offense among all teams this week with a 52.3% run rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.

Our trusted projections expect Justin Fields to earn 9.2 carries in this game, on average: the 4th-most among all quarterbacks.

Accounting for 28.6% of his team's run game usage this year (93rd percentile when it comes to QBs), Justin Fields's mobility marks him as a major weapon as a ball-carrier.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The model projects this game to see the 5th-smallest number of plays run among all games this week at 126.0 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

The Steelers have run the 7th-fewest plays in the league since the start of last season, totaling a lowly 56.4 plays per game.

The pass games of both teams (in terms of both volume and effectiveness) figure to benefit from the still weather conditions (2-mph wind) being forecasted in this game, while rush volume may slide.

As it relates to the defensive tackles' role in run defense, Los Angeles's group of DTs has been excellent since the start of last season, profiling as the 4th-best in the league.

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