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Justin Fields

Justin Fields Carries
Player Prop Week 17

Chicago Bears vs Atlanta Falcons

Justin Fields Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (-110/-120).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 9.5 @ +105 before it was bet down to 9.5 @ -120.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Chicago Bears to run on 54.0% of their opportunities: the highest frequency among all teams this week.

The projections expect Justin Fields to earn 10.7 carries in this week's contest, on average: the 2nd-most out of all QBs.

Justin Fields isn't afraid to run the ball himself, taking on 28.7% of his team's rush attempts this year, ranking him in the 95th percentile when it comes to QBs.

The Chicago offensive line grades out as the 9th-best in football last year at blocking for the run game.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The predictive model expects the Bears offense to be the 10th-most sluggish paced team in the NFL (context-neutralized) at the present time, averaging 28.39 seconds per snap.

As it relates to the defensive tackles' role in stopping the run, Atlanta's collection of DTs has been fantastic this year, profiling as the 3rd-best in the league.

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