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Justin Fields

Justin Fields Carries
Player Prop Week 14

Chicago Bears vs Detroit Lions

Justin Fields Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (-135/+105).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The projections expect the Chicago Bears as the 2nd-most run-centric team among all teams this week with a 51.8% run rate, based on their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.

In this game, Justin Fields is anticipated by the model to total the most rush attempts among all quarterbacks with 10.7.

The predictive model expects Justin Fields to be much more involved in his offense's ground game in this week's contest (33.6% projected Carry Share) than he has been this year (28.6% in games he has played).

When it comes to run-blocking (and the ramifications it has on all run game stats), the offensive line of the Bears profiles as the 9th-best in the league last year.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Bears are a 3-point underdog this week, likely creating a passing game script.

Accounting for their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics, the Bears are predicted by the predictive model to call only 61.8 offensive plays in this contest: the lowest number among all teams this week.

When it comes to the defensive ends' role in defending against the run, Detroit's group of DEs has been fantastic this year, ranking as the 4th-best in the league.

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