Justin Fields Carries - Player Prop Bet Week 1

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Justin Fields

NFL · Player Props

Justin Fields

QB · Chicago Bears

Carries

Chicago Bears vs Green Bay Packers · Week 1, 2023

Updated Sep 10, 2023 11:21 PM UTC

Analysis

Justin Fields Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (-140/+110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 9.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 8.5 @ +110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects the Chicago Bears as the most run-oriented offense among all teams this week with a 55.0% run rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects Justin Fields to garner 10.1 carries in this game, on average: the 2nd-most of all QBs.
Justin Fields isn't afraid to run the ball, accounting for 30.9% of his offense's carries since the start of last season, ranking him in the 98th percentile among QBs.
The Chicago Bears offensive line profiles as the 9th-best in the NFL since the start of last season at opening holes for rushers.
The Green Bay Packers linebackers grade out as the 4th-worst unit in the league since the start of last season when it comes to defending the run.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects this game to have the lowest volume of plays run among all games this week at 118.6 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The Chicago Bears have run the least plays in the NFL since the start of last season, totaling just 52.9 plays per game.

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