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Justice Hill

Justice Hill Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 19

Baltimore Ravens vs Pittsburgh Steelers

 
 
 
Justice Hill Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (-114/-114).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 8.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 10.5 @ -114.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • This game's line indicates an extreme rushing game script for the Ravens, who are a heavy favorite by 9.5 points.
  • The model projects the Baltimore Ravens as the 2nd-most run-centric offense among all teams this week with a 52.1% run rate, given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.
  • The model projects this game to see the 2nd-largest volume of plays run among all games this week at 130.5 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • Justice Hill has done a better job at generating extra running yardage this year, compiling 4.19 yards-after-contact vs a 2.55 rate last year.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Baltimore Ravens have called the 7th-fewest plays in football this year, averaging just 56.5 plays per game.
  • Justice Hill has run for many fewer adjusted yards per game (14.0) this season than he did last season (26.0).
  • This year, the fierce Pittsburgh Steelers run defense has allowed a meager 99.0 adjusted rushing yards per game to opposing offenses: the 5th-fewest in the league.
  • When it comes to the safeties' role in stopping the run, Pittsburgh's unit has been excellent this year, projecting as the 4th-best in the NFL.

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