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Justice Hill

Justice Hill Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 16

Baltimore Ravens vs Pittsburgh Steelers

 
 
 
Justice Hill Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (-160/+120).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 8.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 8.5 @ -160.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Ravens are a 6.5-point favorite in this week's contest, likely creating a rushing game script.
  • The projections expect the Ravens as the 2nd-most run-centric team among all teams this week with a 51.8% run rate, based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.
  • Windy weather conditions (like the 16-mph being called for in this game) generally lead to decreased passing efficiency, reduced air attack volume, and higher ground volume.
  • Justice Hill has improved when it comes to picking up extra running yardage this season, notching 3.80 yards-after-contact compared to a 2.55 figure last season.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The predictive model expects the Baltimore Ravens offense to be the 2nd-most sluggish paced team in the league (context-neutralized) at the present time, averaging 29.52 seconds per play.
  • Justice Hill's 13.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground this year indicates a noteworthy reduction in his rushing skills over last year's 26.0 mark.
  • Justice Hill's ground effectiveness has worsened this season, totaling a mere 4.12 adjusted yards-per-carry compared to a 4.94 figure last season.
  • The opposing side have run for the 4th-fewest adjusted yards in the NFL (just 95.0 per game) vs. the Steelers defense this year.
  • The Pittsburgh Steelers safeties grade out as the 2nd-best collection of safeties in the NFL this year with their run defense.

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