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Justice Hill

Justice Hill Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 15

New York Giants vs Baltimore Ravens

Justice Hill Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 18.5 (-154/+112).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 12.5 @ -109 before it was bet up to 18.5 @ -154.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

With a 16.5-point advantage, the Ravens are heavily favored this week, indicating much more of a focus on running than their usual approach.

Given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Ravens to run on 55.7% of their downs: the greatest frequency among all teams this week.

Accounting for their underlying traits and game dynamics, the Baltimore Ravens are projected by our trusted projection set to call 65.5 total plays in this contest: the 10th-highest number among all teams this week.

Justice Hill's 3.81 yards-after-contact this year illustrates a substantial growth in his rushing ability over last year's 2.55 figure.

This year, the fierce Giants run defense has given up a meager 5.23 adjusted yards-per-carry to the opposition's running game: the 31st-best rate in the NFL.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Justice Hill's 14.0 adjusted rushing yards per game this season reflects a significant diminishment in his rushing proficiency over last season's 26.0 mark.

Justice Hill's ground effectiveness has tailed off this year, accumulating a measly 4.16 adjusted yards-per-carry compared to a 4.94 mark last year.

The New York Giants defensive tackles profile as the best unit in the NFL this year in regard to defending the run.

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