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Justice Hill

Justice Hill Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 13

Baltimore Ravens vs Philadelphia Eagles

 
 
 
Justice Hill Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (-105/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 7.5 @ -105 before it was bet up to 8.5 @ -105.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Ravens are a 3-point favorite this week, which points towards a running game script.
  • The predictive model expects the Baltimore Ravens as the 2nd-most run-heavy team on the slate this week with a 50.1% run rate, accounting for their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.
  • Justice Hill has been more successful in grinding out extra ground yardage this season, totaling 3.85 yards-after-contact vs a 2.55 mark last season.
  • When it comes to the safeties' role in stopping the run, Philadelphia's safety corps has been atrocious this year, ranking as the 4th-worst in the NFL. in the NFL.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Our trusted projections expect this game to have the 4th-smallest number of plays run out of all the games this week at 127.2 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • The 6th-fewest plays in the league have been called by the Ravens this year (a lowly 55.5 per game on average).
  • Justice Hill has run for a lot fewer adjusted yards per game (15.0) this year than he did last year (26.0).
  • The opposing side have run for the 7th-fewest adjusted yards in the NFL (just 99.0 per game) versus the Philadelphia Eagles defense this year.

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