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Justice Hill

Justice Hill Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 1

Kansas City Chiefs vs Baltimore Ravens

Justice Hill Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 14.5 (-120/-109).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 15.5 @ -114 before it was bet down to 14.5 @ -109.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The model projects the Ravens to be the 7th-most run-focused team on the slate this week with a 44.9% run rate, based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.

The predictive model expects the Ravens to run the 10th-most offensive plays on the slate this week with 65.6 plays, given their underlying traits and game dynamics.

With an excellent record of 4.94 adjusted yards per carry (89th percentile), Justice Hill stands as one of the top running backs in the NFL last year.

Last year, the daunting Kansas City Chiefs run defense has conceded a puny 4.60 adjusted yards-per-carry to the opposing ground game: the 24th-lowest rate in football.

As it relates to the safeties' role in defending against the run, Kansas City's collection of safeties has been awful last year, profiling as the 10th-worst in the NFL. in the NFL.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

At a -3-point disadvantage, the Ravens are underdogs this week, suggesting more of a focus on passing than their typical game plan.

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