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Justice Hill

Justice Hill Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 9

Baltimore Ravens vs Seattle Seahawks

Justice Hill Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 20.5 (-105/-125).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 20.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 20.5 @ -125.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

This week's spread suggests a rushing game script for the Ravens, who are favored by 5.5 points.

Given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Ravens to run on 49.8% of their chances: the 2nd-greatest frequency among all teams this week.

Justice Hill has been a more important option in his offense's run game this season (21.1% Carry Share in games he has played) than he was last season (11.1%).

Justice Hill has run for a lot more adjusted yards per game (32.0) this season than he did last season (19.0).

Justice Hill's rushing efficiency (4.95 adjusted yards per carry) has been some of the best in football this year (86th percentile when it comes to RBs).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Baltimore Ravens feature a new play-caller this year in offensive coordinator Todd Monken, and the leading projections forecast their pass/run mix to tilt 3.2% more towards passing than it did last year (in a neutral context).

At the moment, the 2nd-most sluggish paced team in football (in a neutral context) according to the model is the Ravens.

This year, the anemic Seahawks run defense has allowed a staggering 3.51 adjusted yards-per-carry (YPC) to the opposing run game: the 31st-worst rate in the league.

As it relates to the linebackers' role in run defense, Seattle's LB corps has been tremendous this year, ranking as the 6th-best in football.

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