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Justice Hill
NFL · Player Props
Justice Hill
RB · Baltimore Ravens
Rushing Yards
Baltimore Ravens vs Detroit Lions · Week 7, 2023 Updated Oct 22, 2023 11:16 PM EST
NFL Props Justice Hill Rushing Yards

Justice Hill Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 27.5 (-109/-120).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 26.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 27.5 @ -109.

Favors Over
  • This week's spread indicates a running game script for the Ravens, who are favored by 3 points.
  • The model projects the Ravens as the most run-centric team on the slate this week with a 50.6% run rate, accounting for their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.
  • The weather report calls for 18-mph wind in this game. High wind generally means lower pass volume (and increased run volume) and worse passing efficiency.
  • After taking on 11.1% of his team's carries last season, Justice Hill has had a larger role in the running game this season, now sitting at 23.1%.
  • Justice Hill has rushed for substantially more adjusted yards per game (32.0) this year than he did last year (19.0).
Favors Under
  • The predictive model expects the Baltimore Ravens offensive approach to lean 2.2% more towards the passing attack than it did last season (adjusted for context) with offensive coordinator Todd Monken now calling the plays.
  • Right now, the 9th-slowest paced team in the league (adjusted for context) according to the projection model is the Ravens.
  • Opposing squads have run for the fewest adjusted yards in the league (just 60.0 per game) vs. the Lions defense this year.
  • The Detroit Lions linebackers project as the 4th-best LB corps in football this year when it comes to defending the run.
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