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Justice Hill

Justice Hill Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 8

Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Baltimore Ravens

 
 
 
Justice Hill Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 15.5 (-110/-120).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 15.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 15.5 @ -120.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • THE BLITZ projects the Ravens to call the 6th-most plays on offense among all teams this week with 65.4 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
  • Justice Hill's ground efficiency (5.81 yards per carry) has been some of the best in football this year (88th percentile among running backs).
  • Justice Hill has been among the leading running backs in the NFL at generating extra running yardage, averaging a stellar 4.21 yards-after-contact this year while grading out in the 94th percentile.
  • The Tampa Bay Buccaneers defensive ends project as the 2nd-worst collection of DEs in football this year in regard to run defense.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Baltimore Ravens have run the 7th-least plays in the NFL this year, averaging a lowly 54.1 plays per game.
  • The forecast calls for 2-mph wind in this game. Low wind typically means higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
  • THE BLITZ projects Justice Hill to be a much smaller piece of his offense's run game this week (6.6% projected Carry Share) than he has been this year (19.2% in games he has played).
  • The Baltimore Ravens offensive line profiles as the 5th-worst in the NFL this year at blocking for the run game.

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