Justice Hill Rushing TD - Player Prop Bet Week 9

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Justice Hill

NFL · Player Props

Justice Hill

RB · Baltimore Ravens

Rushing TD

New Orleans Saints vs Baltimore Ravens · Week 9, 2022

Updated Nov 8, 2022 12:21 AM EST

Analysis

Justice Hill Rushing TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+350/-500).

Key Factors

Favors Over

The New Orleans Saints have stacked the box against opponents on just 13.5% of their plays since the start of last season, least in the NFL. Choosing not to keep an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves pass defense at the expense of run-stopping.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects this game to see the smallest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 125.3 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The Baltimore Ravens have run the least plays in the NFL this year, totaling a lowly 55.9 plays per game.
Justice Hill has rushed for 0.00 TDs per game on the ground this year, one of the lowest marks in the league among RBs (1st percentile).
The New Orleans Saints defensive ends grade out as the 3rd-best group of DEs in the league this year in regard to defending the run.

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