My Account Log Out

reorder

Justice Hill

Justice Hill Receptions
Player Prop Week 20

Buffalo Bills vs Baltimore Ravens

Justice Hill Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (+120/-156).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 2.5 @ -112 before it was bet up to 3.5 @ +120.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The model projects this game to have the smallest number of plays run out of all the games this week at 127.9 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

This week, Justice Hill is forecasted by the projections to find himself in the 87th percentile when it comes to RBs with 4.0 targets.

With a high 12.1% Target Share (93rd percentile) this year, Justice Hill has been as one of the pass-game running backs with the most usage in football.

Justice Hill comes in as one of the top pass-catching running backs this year, averaging an exceptional 2.7 adjusted catches per game while ranking in the 86th percentile.

Justice Hill's receiving reliability have been refined this season, with his Adjusted Completion% increasing from 77.4% to 92.6%.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Based on their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Ravens to pass on 49.1% of their downs: the 2nd-lowest rate on the slate this week.

This year, the strong Bills defense has yielded a paltry 79.4% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing RBs: the 5th-lowest rate in football.

More Justice Hill Player Props

© 2022 EV Analytics | Data by WriteNow™