My Account Log Out

reorder

Justice Hill

Justice Hill Receptions
Player Prop Week 19

Baltimore Ravens vs Pittsburgh Steelers

Justice Hill Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-143/+110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 2.5 @ -108 before it was bet up to 2.5 @ -143.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The model projects this game to see the 2nd-largest volume of plays run among all games this week at 130.5 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

The model projects Justice Hill to accumulate 3.6 targets in this week's game, on balance, ranking him in the 82nd percentile among RBs.

With an impressive 11.7% Target% (91st percentile) this year, Justice Hill rates as one of the RB receiving threats with the highest volume in football.

Justice Hill's play as a receiver has gotten a boost this season, accumulating 2.8 adjusted catches vs a mere 1.8 last season.

Justice Hill's sure-handedness have improved this year, with his Adjusted Completion Rate jumping from 77.4% to 92.4%.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

This game's line indicates an extreme rushing game script for the Ravens, who are a heavy favorite by 9.5 points.

The projections expect the Baltimore Ravens to be the 2nd-least pass-centric team among all teams this week with a 47.9% pass rate, accounting for their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.

The Baltimore Ravens have called the 7th-fewest plays in football this year, averaging just 56.5 plays per game.

As it relates to linebackers in covering receivers, Pittsburgh's group of LBs has been great this year, projecting as the 9th-best in the league.

More Justice Hill Player Props

© 2022 EV Analytics | Data by WriteNow™