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Justice Hill

Justice Hill Receptions
Player Prop Week 15

New York Giants vs Baltimore Ravens

 
 
 
Justice Hill Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-200/+160).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ -180 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ -200.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Accounting for their underlying traits and game dynamics, the Baltimore Ravens are projected by our trusted projection set to call 65.5 total plays in this contest: the 10th-highest number among all teams this week.
  • Justice Hill's 16.9 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that measures high-value offensive involvement) has been significantly higher this year than it was last year at 10.4.
  • Justice Hill's play as a receiver has gotten a boost this year, averaging 2.9 adjusted catches compared to just 1.8 last year.
  • Justice Hill's possession skills have been refined this season, with his Adjusted Catch% rising from 77.4% to 93.6%.
  • The Giants safeties profile as the 9th-worst unit in the NFL this year in pass coverage.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • With a 16.5-point advantage, the Ravens are heavily favored this week, indicating much more of a focus on running than their usual approach.
  • The projections expect the Baltimore Ravens to be the least pass-heavy team among all teams this week with a 44.3% pass rate, based on their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.
  • Opposing teams have averaged 29.2 pass attempts per game versus the New York Giants defense this year: fewest in the league.

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