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Justice Hill

Justice Hill Receptions
Player Prop Week 13

Baltimore Ravens vs Philadelphia Eagles

 
 
 
Justice Hill Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-110/-120).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 2.5 @ +105 before it was bet up to 2.5 @ -110.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Justice Hill's 16.3 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that weighs high-value offensive involvement) has been quite a bit better this year than it was last year at 10.4.
  • Justice Hill's receiving performance has improved this year, accumulating 2.8 adjusted receptions vs a measly 1.8 last year.
  • Justice Hill's 97.9% Adjusted Completion Rate this season marks a noteable improvement in his pass-catching skills over last season's 77.4% mark.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Ravens are a 3-point favorite this week, which points towards a running game script.
  • The leading projections forecast the Ravens as the 2nd-least pass-heavy offense among all teams this week with a 49.9% pass rate, given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.
  • Our trusted projections expect this game to have the 4th-smallest number of plays run out of all the games this week at 127.2 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • The 6th-fewest plays in the league have been called by the Ravens this year (a lowly 55.5 per game on average).
  • Opposing QBs teams have been afraid to test the pass defense of the Eagles, totaling the 9th-fewest attempts in the league (a mere 32.8 per game) this year.

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