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Justice Hill

Justice Hill Receptions
Player Prop Week 12

Los Angeles Chargers vs Baltimore Ravens

Justice Hill Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-149/+115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 2.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 2.5 @ -149.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The passing attacks of both teams (as it relates to both volume and efficiency) stand to benefit from the calm weather conditions (1-mph wind) being forecasted in this game, while rush volume may go down.

The Los Angeles Chargers defense has been a notorious pass funnel this year, compelling opposing teams to attempt the 10th-most passes in the NFL (34.8 per game) this year.

This week, Justice Hill is anticipated by our trusted projection set to place in the 76th percentile when it comes to running backs with 3.3 targets.

Justice Hill's 16.4 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that assesses high-value offensive involvement) has been quite a bit higher this year than it was last year at 10.4.

Justice Hill's receiving performance has been refined this season, notching 2.8 adjusted catches compared to just 1.8 last season.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Our trusted projections expect the Baltimore Ravens to be the least pass-centric team among all teams this week with a 51.4% pass rate, given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.

The leading projections forecast this game to see the lowest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 126.7 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

The Ravens have called the 3rd-fewest plays in the NFL this year, totaling just 55.6 plays per game.

This year, the imposing Chargers defense has allowed a paltry 74.4% Adjusted Completion Rate vs. opposing running backs: the 2nd-best rate in football.

As it relates to linebackers in defending receivers, Los Angeles's group of LBs has been tremendous this year, grading out as the 7th-best in football.

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