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Justice Hill

Justice Hill Receptions
Player Prop Week 11

Pittsburgh Steelers vs Baltimore Ravens

Justice Hill Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (+135/-175).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 2.5 @ +140 before it was bet up to 2.5 @ +135.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Justice Hill has been a key part of his team's pass game, garnering a Target Share of 10.3% this year, which ranks him in the 78th percentile when it comes to RBs.

Justice Hill profiles as one of the best pass-catching RBs this year, averaging an exceptional 2.7 adjusted receptions per game while checking in at the 80th percentile.

Justice Hill's sure-handedness have been refined this year, with his Adjusted Completion% rising from 77.4% to 100.0%.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

This week's spread implies a rushing game script for the Ravens, who are favored by 3 points.

Accounting for their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Baltimore Ravens to pass on 51.2% of their plays: the lowest clip among all teams this week.

At the present time, the 2nd-most sluggish paced team in football (context-neutralized) according to the projections is the Baltimore Ravens.

The Steelers safeties rank as the 4th-best collection of safeties in football this year in covering pass-catchers.

More Justice Hill Player Props

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