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Justice Hill

Justice Hill Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 19

Baltimore Ravens vs Pittsburgh Steelers

 
 
 
Justice Hill Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 19.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 17.5 @ -114 before it was bet up to 19.5 @ -110.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The model projects this game to see the 2nd-largest volume of plays run among all games this week at 130.5 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • The model projects Justice Hill to accumulate 3.6 targets in this week's game, on balance, ranking him in the 82nd percentile among RBs.
  • With an impressive 11.7% Target% (91st percentile) this year, Justice Hill rates as one of the RB receiving threats with the highest volume in football.
  • Justice Hill has accumulated substantially more adjusted receiving yards per game (27.0) this year than he did last year (13.0).
  • Justice Hill's sure-handedness have improved this year, with his Adjusted Completion Rate jumping from 77.4% to 92.4%.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • This game's line indicates an extreme rushing game script for the Ravens, who are a heavy favorite by 9.5 points.
  • The projections expect the Baltimore Ravens to be the 2nd-least pass-centric team among all teams this week with a 47.9% pass rate, accounting for their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.
  • The Baltimore Ravens have called the 7th-fewest plays in football this year, averaging just 56.5 plays per game.
  • When it comes to air yards, Justice Hill ranks in the paltry 17th percentile among RBs this year, averaging just -2.0 per game.
  • As it relates to linebackers in covering receivers, Pittsburgh's group of LBs has been great this year, projecting as the 9th-best in the league.

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