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Justice Hill

Justice Hill Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 16

Baltimore Ravens vs Pittsburgh Steelers

 
 
 
Justice Hill Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 21.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 18.5 @ -114 before it was bet up to 21.5 @ -110.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • In this week's contest, Justice Hill is projected by our trusted projection set to slot into the 80th percentile when it comes to running backs with 3.6 targets.
  • Justice Hill has been a more integral piece of his team's passing offense this season (12.2% Target Share in games he has played) than he was last season (6.9%).
  • Justice Hill has notched substantially more adjusted receiving yards per game (29.0) this year than he did last year (13.0).
  • Justice Hill's 94.2% Adjusted Catch Rate this year shows a noteable improvement in his pass-catching ability over last year's 77.4% rate.
  • Justice Hill's 8.9 adjusted yards per target this season shows a noteable boost in his pass-catching prowess over last season's 5.6 mark.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Ravens are a 6.5-point favorite in this week's contest, likely creating a rushing game script.
  • Based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Baltimore Ravens to pass on 48.2% of their chances: the 2nd-lowest frequency on the slate this week.
  • The predictive model expects the Baltimore Ravens offense to be the 2nd-most sluggish paced team in the league (context-neutralized) at the present time, averaging 29.52 seconds per play.
  • Windy weather conditions (like the 16-mph being called for in this game) generally lead to decreased passing efficiency, reduced air attack volume, and higher ground volume.
  • Justice Hill has accrued a mere -2.0 air yards per game this year: just 24th percentile among running backs.

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