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Justice Hill

Justice Hill Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 16

Baltimore Ravens vs Pittsburgh Steelers

Justice Hill Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 21.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 18.5 @ -114 before it was bet up to 21.5 @ -110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

In this week's contest, Justice Hill is projected by our trusted projection set to slot into the 80th percentile when it comes to running backs with 3.6 targets.

Justice Hill has been a more integral piece of his team's passing offense this season (12.2% Target Share in games he has played) than he was last season (6.9%).

Justice Hill has notched substantially more adjusted receiving yards per game (29.0) this year than he did last year (13.0).

Justice Hill's 94.2% Adjusted Catch Rate this year shows a noteable improvement in his pass-catching ability over last year's 77.4% rate.

Justice Hill's 8.9 adjusted yards per target this season shows a noteable boost in his pass-catching prowess over last season's 5.6 mark.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Ravens are a 6.5-point favorite in this week's contest, likely creating a rushing game script.

Based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Baltimore Ravens to pass on 48.2% of their chances: the 2nd-lowest frequency on the slate this week.

The predictive model expects the Baltimore Ravens offense to be the 2nd-most sluggish paced team in the league (context-neutralized) at the present time, averaging 29.52 seconds per play.

Windy weather conditions (like the 16-mph being called for in this game) generally lead to decreased passing efficiency, reduced air attack volume, and higher ground volume.

Justice Hill has accrued a mere -2.0 air yards per game this year: just 24th percentile among running backs.

More Justice Hill Player Props

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