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Justice Hill

Justice Hill Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 15

New York Giants vs Baltimore Ravens

Justice Hill Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 16.5 (-115/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 11.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 16.5 @ -115.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Accounting for their underlying traits and game dynamics, the Baltimore Ravens are projected by our trusted projection set to call 65.5 total plays in this contest: the 10th-highest number among all teams this week.

Justice Hill's 16.9 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that measures high-value offensive involvement) has been significantly higher this year than it was last year at 10.4.

Justice Hill has compiled many more adjusted receiving yards per game (26.0) this season than he did last season (13.0).

Justice Hill's possession skills have been refined this season, with his Adjusted Catch% rising from 77.4% to 93.6%.

Justice Hill's 8.5 adjusted yards per target this year shows a noteable boost in his pass-catching talent over last year's 5.6 mark.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

With a 16.5-point advantage, the Ravens are heavily favored this week, indicating much more of a focus on running than their usual approach.

The projections expect the Baltimore Ravens to be the least pass-heavy team among all teams this week with a 44.3% pass rate, based on their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.

Opposing teams have averaged 29.2 pass attempts per game versus the New York Giants defense this year: fewest in the league.

When talking about air yards, Justice Hill grades out in the paltry 23rd percentile among RBs this year, averaging just -2.0 per game.

The Giants pass defense has been quite strong when opposing running backs have gotten into space, giving up an average of 6.83 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this year: the 7th-fewest in football.

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