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Justice Hill

Justice Hill Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 13

Baltimore Ravens vs Philadelphia Eagles

Justice Hill Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 16.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 17.5 @ -114 before it was bet down to 16.5 @ -110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Justice Hill's 16.3 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that weighs high-value offensive involvement) has been quite a bit better this year than it was last year at 10.4.

Justice Hill's 27.0 adjusted receiving yards per game this year marks a noteable improvement in his pass-catching skills over last year's 13.0 mark.

Justice Hill's 97.9% Adjusted Completion Rate this season marks a noteable improvement in his pass-catching skills over last season's 77.4% mark.

Justice Hill's 9.4 adjusted yards per target this year reflects a significant improvement in his pass-catching talent over last year's 5.6 rate.

Justice Hill's ability to grind out extra yardage has been refined this year, totaling 9.91 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) vs a measly 8.46 mark last year.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Ravens are a 3-point favorite this week, which points towards a running game script.

The leading projections forecast the Ravens as the 2nd-least pass-heavy offense among all teams this week with a 49.9% pass rate, given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.

Our trusted projections expect this game to have the 4th-smallest number of plays run out of all the games this week at 127.2 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

The 6th-fewest plays in the league have been called by the Ravens this year (a lowly 55.5 per game on average).

Opposing QBs teams have been afraid to test the pass defense of the Eagles, totaling the 9th-fewest attempts in the league (a mere 32.8 per game) this year.

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