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Justice Hill

Justice Hill Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 13

Baltimore Ravens vs Philadelphia Eagles

 
 
 
Justice Hill Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 16.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 17.5 @ -114 before it was bet down to 16.5 @ -110.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Justice Hill's 16.3 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that weighs high-value offensive involvement) has been quite a bit better this year than it was last year at 10.4.
  • Justice Hill's 27.0 adjusted receiving yards per game this year marks a noteable improvement in his pass-catching skills over last year's 13.0 mark.
  • Justice Hill's 97.9% Adjusted Completion Rate this season marks a noteable improvement in his pass-catching skills over last season's 77.4% mark.
  • Justice Hill's 9.4 adjusted yards per target this year reflects a significant improvement in his pass-catching talent over last year's 5.6 rate.
  • Justice Hill's ability to grind out extra yardage has been refined this year, totaling 9.91 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) vs a measly 8.46 mark last year.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Ravens are a 3-point favorite this week, which points towards a running game script.
  • The leading projections forecast the Ravens as the 2nd-least pass-heavy offense among all teams this week with a 49.9% pass rate, given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.
  • Our trusted projections expect this game to have the 4th-smallest number of plays run out of all the games this week at 127.2 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • The 6th-fewest plays in the league have been called by the Ravens this year (a lowly 55.5 per game on average).
  • Opposing QBs teams have been afraid to test the pass defense of the Eagles, totaling the 9th-fewest attempts in the league (a mere 32.8 per game) this year.

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