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Julio Jones

Julio Jones Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 16

Arizona Cardinals vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Julio Jones Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 20.5 (-101/-131).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 20.5 @ -114 before it was bet down to 20.5 @ -131.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

THE BLITZ projects the Tampa Bay Buccaneers as the most pass-oriented team among all teams this week with a 66.3% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.

THE BLITZ projects the Buccaneers to run the 2nd-most offensive plays among all teams this week with 70.0 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.

The Tampa Bay Buccaneers have run the most plays in the league this year, averaging a whopping 63.8 plays per game.

This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing effectiveness.

Opposing QBs have averaged 36.6 pass attempts per game vs. the Arizona Cardinals defense this year: 10th-most in the NFL.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Buccaneers are a 6.5-point favorite in this week's contest, likely leading to a rushing game script.

The Arizona Cardinals defense has given up the 9th-least receiving yards per game in the league (just 140.0) versus wide receivers this year.

The Arizona Cardinals pass defense has shown good efficiency versus wide receivers this year, allowing 7.53 yards-per-target to the position: the 5th-least in football.

The Tampa Bay Buccaneers offensive line has allowed their quarterback a mere 2.30 seconds before the pass (worst in the NFL since the start of last season), which has a harmful effect on all passing game stats across the board.

The Arizona Cardinals defensive front has gotten pressure on opposing QBs just 2.44 seconds after the snap (on average), grading out as the 10th-best in football since the start of last season.

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