My Account Log Out

reorder

Julio Jones

Julio Jones Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 13

Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs New Orleans Saints

Julio Jones Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 25.5 (-108/-127).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 25.5 @ -113 before it was bet down to 25.5 @ -127.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

THE BLITZ projects the Tampa Bay Buccaneers as the 5th-most pass-oriented offense among all teams this week with a 65.7% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.

THE BLITZ projects this game to see the lowest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 133.0 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

The Tampa Bay Buccaneers have called the 2nd-most plays in football this year, averaging a monstrous 62.9 plays per game.

The weatherman calls for 12-mph wind in this game. High wind typically means reduced pass volume (and higher run volume) and lessened passing efficiency.

Julio Jones has accrued far more air yards this season (71.0 per game) than he did last season (58.0 per game).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Buccaneers are a 3.5-point favorite in this week's game, likely leading to a rushing game script.

Opposing QBs have averaged 33.3 pass attempts per game versus the New Orleans Saints defense this year: least in the league.

Julio Jones has run fewer routes this year (52.1% Route% in games he has played) than he did last year (69.8%).

Julio Jones's possession skills have declined this year, with his Completion% decreasing from 68.4% to 55.7%.

The Tampa Bay Buccaneers offensive line has afforded their quarterback a measly 2.30 seconds before the pass (worst in football since the start of last season), which has a negative effect on all passing game stats across the board.

More Julio Jones Player Props

© 2022 EV Analytics | Data by WriteNow™