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Julian Hill

Julian Hill Receptions
Player Prop Week 12

Miami Dolphins vs New England Patriots

Julian Hill Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (-245/+180).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Dolphins have run the 8th-most plays in the league this year, totaling a staggering 60.0 plays per game.

Julian Hill's 11.6 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that assesses high-value offensive involvement) has been significantly better this season than it was last season at 3.0.

When it comes to linebackers in pass coverage, New England's collection of LBs has been very bad this year, projecting as the 3rd-worst in football.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

This week's line suggests an extreme running game script for the Dolphins, who are a heavy favorite by 7.5 points.

The predictive model expects the Dolphins as the 7th-least pass-focused team among all teams this week with a 55.5% pass rate, given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.

Our trusted projections expect the Dolphins to run the fewest offensive plays on the slate this week with 62.2 plays, based on their underlying play style and game dynamics.

With a meager 1.3 adjusted catches per game (23rd percentile) this year, Julian Hill stands among the weakest pass-game TEs in the league.

With a weak 63.1% Adjusted Catch Rate (22nd percentile) this year, Julian Hill ranks among the worst possession receivers in the NFL when it comes to tight ends.

More Julian Hill Player Props

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