My Account Log Out

reorder

Julian Hill

Julian Hill Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 16

Miami Dolphins vs San Francisco 49ers

Julian Hill Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 4.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 3.5 @ -110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Dolphins to pass on 62.3% of their downs: the 4th-greatest frequency among all teams this week.

The Dolphins have run the 6th-most plays in football this year, totaling a staggering 60.0 plays per game.

Julian Hill has accrued quite a few more air yards this year (9.0 per game) than he did last year (2.0 per game).

Julian Hill's 9.0 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that quantifies high-value offensive involvement) has been substantially better this season than it was last season at 3.0.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Based on the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this contest is predicted by the projection model to have only 122.2 total plays run: the fewest among all games this week.

Opposing quarterbacks teams have been reluctant to test the pass defense of the 49ers, totaling the 4th-fewest attempts in the NFL (a lowly 30.7 per game) this year.

With a subpar 11.0 adjusted yards per game on passes (23rd percentile) this year, Julian Hill has been among the weakest tight ends in the pass game in the league.

Julian Hill rates as one of the most unreliable receivers in football among tight ends, hauling in a mere 64.9% of passes thrown his way (adjusted for context) this year, checking in at the 24th percentile.

The 49ers defense has allowed the fewest adjusted receiving yards per game in the NFL (just 36.0) to TEs this year.

More Julian Hill Player Props

© 2022 EV Analytics | Data by WriteNow™