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Julian Hill

Julian Hill Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 13

Green Bay Packers vs Miami Dolphins

Julian Hill Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 6.5 @ -105 before it was bet up to 6.5 @ -110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Dolphins are a 3.5-point underdog in this week's game, likely creating a passing game script.

Our trusted projections expect the Miami Dolphins as the 9th-most pass-centric team among all teams this week with a 59.5% pass rate, given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.

Our trusted projections expect this game to have the 5th-largest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 130.6 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

The Dolphins have run the 9th-most plays in the league this year, averaging a staggering 59.8 plays per game.

Julian Hill has posted many more air yards this year (11.0 per game) than he did last year (2.0 per game).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

With a feeble 12.0 adjusted receiving yards per game (19th percentile) this year, Julian Hill ranks among the worst TE receiving threats in football.

Julian Hill is positioned as one of the most hard-handed receivers in the league among TEs, completing just 61.1% of passes thrown his way (adjusted for context) this year, checking in at the 17th percentile.

The Green Bay Packers safeties rank as the 2nd-best unit in the NFL this year in covering receivers.

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