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Julian Hill

Julian Hill Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 12

Miami Dolphins vs New England Patriots

 
 
 
Julian Hill Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 7.5 (-112/-115).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Dolphins have run the 8th-most plays in the league this year, totaling a staggering 60.0 plays per game.
  • After averaging 2.0 air yards per game last year, Julian Hill has seen marked improvement this year, now boasting 12.0 per game.
  • Julian Hill's 11.6 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that assesses high-value offensive involvement) has been significantly better this season than it was last season at 3.0.
  • When it comes to linebackers in pass coverage, New England's collection of LBs has been very bad this year, projecting as the 3rd-worst in football.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • This week's line suggests an extreme running game script for the Dolphins, who are a heavy favorite by 7.5 points.
  • The predictive model expects the Dolphins as the 7th-least pass-focused team among all teams this week with a 55.5% pass rate, given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.
  • Our trusted projections expect the Dolphins to run the fewest offensive plays on the slate this week with 62.2 plays, based on their underlying play style and game dynamics.
  • With a poor 12.0 adjusted yards per game through the air (24th percentile) this year, Julian Hill ranks as one of the worst TE receiving threats in football.
  • With a weak 63.1% Adjusted Catch Rate (22nd percentile) this year, Julian Hill ranks among the worst possession receivers in the NFL when it comes to tight ends.

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