My Account Log Out

reorder

JuJu Smith-Schuster

JuJu Smith-Schuster Receptions
Player Prop Week 22

Philadelphia Eagles vs Kansas City Chiefs

JuJu Smith-Schuster Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-155/+115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ -105 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ -155.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Right now, the 2nd-most pass-oriented team in the league (68.3% adjusted for context) according to the projections is the Chiefs.

The model projects the Chiefs offense to be the 7th-quickest paced team in football (adjusted for context) at the moment, averaging 27.02 seconds per snap.

This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.

The Chiefs offensive line profiles as the 5th-best in football this year in protecting the QB, which has a strong effect on all passing game metrics across the board.

Juju Smith-Schuster's receiving reliability have gotten better this year, with his Adjusted Completion Rate increasing from 64.6% to 73.6%.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Opposing quarterbacks teams have been disinclined to pass too much against the Eagles, averaging the fewest attempts in the NFL (a mere 26.4 per game) this year.

Juju Smith-Schuster's 12.1 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that examines high-value offensive usage) has been significantly worse this year than it was last year at 27.8.

Juju Smith-Schuster's 1.4 adjusted catches per game this season indicates a material decline in his receiving skills over last season's 2.7 mark.

This year, the daunting Philadelphia Eagles defense has yielded a measly 61.3% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing wideouts: the 5th-lowest rate in the league.

When it comes to cornerbacks in defending pass-catchers, Philadelphia's unit has been fantastic this year, ranking as the best in the league.

More JuJu Smith-Schuster Player Props

© 2022 EV Analytics | Data by WriteNow™