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JuJu Smith-Schuster

JuJu Smith-Schuster Receptions
Player Prop Week 21

Kansas City Chiefs vs Buffalo Bills

JuJu Smith-Schuster Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (-180/+145).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ +150 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ +145.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The model projects the Chiefs as the most pass-focused offense among all teams this week with a 64.2% pass rate, based on their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.

Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this contest is forecasted by the projections to see just 132.5 plays on offense run: the fewest out of all the games this week.

The 10th-most plays in football have been called by the Kansas City Chiefs this year (a staggering 58.6 per game on average).

The weather forecast calls for 3-mph wind in this game. Low wind typically means higher pass volume, and lower ground volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness.

The Chiefs O-line grades out as the 5th-best in the NFL this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a positive influence on all passing game metrics across the board.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Juju Smith-Schuster's 10.9 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that measures high-value offensive volume) has been quite a bit worse this year than it was last year at 27.8.

Juju Smith-Schuster's receiving performance has tailed off this season, accumulating a measly 1.5 adjusted receptions compared to 2.7 last season.

More JuJu Smith-Schuster Player Props

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