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JuJu Smith-Schuster

JuJu Smith-Schuster Receptions
Player Prop Week 12

Carolina Panthers vs Kansas City Chiefs

 
 
 
JuJu Smith-Schuster Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-110/-120).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ -105 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ -110.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The leading projections forecast the Chiefs to be the 2nd-most pass-heavy team in the NFL (context-neutralized) right now with a 65.8% pass rate.
  • As it relates to pass-blocking (and the strong impact it has on all pass attack statistics), the offensive line of the Kansas City Chiefs profiles as the best in the NFL this year.
  • Juju Smith-Schuster's possession skills have gotten better this season, with his Adjusted Completion% rising from 64.6% to 78.9%.
  • This year, the shaky Panthers pass defense has conceded a monstrous 68.6% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing wide receivers: the 7th-worst rate in football.
  • The Panthers safeties rank as the 5th-worst unit in football this year in covering pass-catchers.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • An extreme rushing game script is implied by the Chiefs being a big 11-point favorite this week.
  • At the present time, the 10th-slowest paced team in the league (in a neutral context) according to the projection model is the Kansas City Chiefs.
  • Juju Smith-Schuster's 14.0 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that assesses high-value offensive usage) has been notably lower this year than it was last year at 27.8.

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