My Account Log Out

reorder

JuJu Smith-Schuster

JuJu Smith-Schuster Receptions
Player Prop Week 13

New England Patriots vs Los Angeles Chargers

JuJu Smith-Schuster Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-130/+102).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 2.5 @ +116 before it was bet down to 2.5 @ +102.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

A passing game script is suggested by the Patriots being a -4.5-point underdog this week.

Based on the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this contest is expected by the projections to have 134.7 plays on offense called: the most among all games this week.

The Los Angeles Chargers defense has been a prominent pass funnel this year, leading opposing QBs to attempt the 2nd-most passes in football (40.2 per game) this year.

When it comes to linebackers in defending receivers, Los Angeles's group of LBs has been awful this year, grading out as the 9th-worst in the NFL.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the model projects the New England Patriots to pass on 55.5% of their chances: the 6th-lowest frequency on the slate this week.

Juju Smith-Schuster has been a much smaller part of his team's passing attack this season (12.1% Target Share in games he has played) than he was last season (18.3%).

Juju Smith-Schuster's 2.8 adjusted receptions per game this season represents an impressive decline in his receiving ability over last season's 4.9 rate.

Juju Smith-Schuster's receiving reliability have worsened this season, with his Adjusted Completion Rate decreasing from 80.5% to 67.2%.

The Chargers pass defense has yielded the 10th-lowest Adjusted Completion% in football (63.6%) to wide receivers this year (63.6%).

More JuJu Smith-Schuster Player Props

© 2022 EV Analytics | Data by WriteNow™