JuJu Smith-Schuster Receptions - Player Prop Bet Week 16

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NFL · Player Props

JuJu Smith-Schuster

WR · Kansas City Chiefs

Receptions

Kansas City Chiefs vs Seattle Seahawks · Week 16, 2022

Updated Dec 24, 2022 5:21 PM UTC

Analysis

JuJu Smith-Schuster Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 4.5 @ +125 before it was bet down to 4.5 @ -115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects the Kansas City Chiefs as the 7th-most pass-oriented team among all teams this week with a 61.3% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects the Chiefs to call the 6th-most total plays among all teams this week with 67.8 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
The Kansas City Chiefs have called the 9th-most plays in the league this year, averaging a monstrous 60.4 plays per game.
THE BLITZ projects JuJu Smith-Schuster to accumulate 7.5 targets in this week's game, on average, placing him in the 84th percentile among wide receivers.
JuJu Smith-Schuster's receiving skills have gotten a boost this year, totaling 5.5 yards per game vs just 3.3 last year.

Favors Under

The Chiefs are a huge 10.5-point favorite in this week's game, indicating an extreme rushing game script.
Opposing offenses have averaged 32.5 pass attempts per game against the Seattle Seahawks defense this year: 4th-least in football.
JuJu Smith-Schuster has gone out for fewer passes this year (76.1% Route% in games he has been on the field) than he did last year (93.0%).
The Kansas City Chiefs have gone up against a stacked the box on a mere 9.3% of their plays since the start of last season, least in the league. Bringing an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the expense of better passing efficiency.
The Kansas City Chiefs have gone no-huddle on a mere 1.8% of their plays outside the two-minute warning since the start of last season (least in the NFL). This slows down the pace, leading to less volume and stat production.