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JuJu Smith-Schuster

JuJu Smith-Schuster Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 22

Philadelphia Eagles vs Kansas City Chiefs

JuJu Smith-Schuster Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 17.5 (-120/-102).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 11.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 17.5 @ -120.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Right now, the 2nd-most pass-oriented team in the league (68.3% adjusted for context) according to the projections is the Chiefs.

The model projects the Chiefs offense to be the 7th-quickest paced team in football (adjusted for context) at the moment, averaging 27.02 seconds per snap.

This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.

The Chiefs offensive line profiles as the 5th-best in football this year in protecting the QB, which has a strong effect on all passing game metrics across the board.

Juju Smith-Schuster's receiving reliability have gotten better this year, with his Adjusted Completion Rate increasing from 64.6% to 73.6%.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Opposing quarterbacks teams have been disinclined to pass too much against the Eagles, averaging the fewest attempts in the NFL (a mere 26.4 per game) this year.

After totaling 31.0 air yards per game last season, Juju Smith-Schuster has been a disappointment this season, now averaging 11.0 per game.

Juju Smith-Schuster's 12.1 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that examines high-value offensive usage) has been significantly worse this year than it was last year at 27.8.

Juju Smith-Schuster comes in as one of the weakest pass-catching wide receivers this year, averaging a lowly 18.0 adjusted yards per game while checking in at the 25th percentile among WRs.

The Philadelphia Eagles defense has given up the fewest adjusted receiving yards per game in football (just 105.0) vs. WRs this year.

More JuJu Smith-Schuster Player Props

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