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JuJu Smith-Schuster

JuJu Smith-Schuster Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 21

Kansas City Chiefs vs Buffalo Bills

 
 
 
JuJu Smith-Schuster Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (-110/-111).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 6.5 @ -106 before it was bet down to 6.5 @ -111.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The model projects the Chiefs as the most pass-focused offense among all teams this week with a 64.2% pass rate, based on their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.
  • Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this contest is forecasted by the projections to see just 132.5 plays on offense run: the fewest out of all the games this week.
  • The 10th-most plays in football have been called by the Kansas City Chiefs this year (a staggering 58.6 per game on average).
  • The weather forecast calls for 3-mph wind in this game. Low wind typically means higher pass volume, and lower ground volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
  • The Chiefs O-line grades out as the 5th-best in the NFL this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a positive influence on all passing game metrics across the board.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • After accruing 31.0 air yards per game last year, Juju Smith-Schuster has gotten worse this year, now boasting 9.0 per game.
  • Juju Smith-Schuster's 10.9 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that measures high-value offensive volume) has been quite a bit worse this year than it was last year at 27.8.

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