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JuJu Smith-Schuster

JuJu Smith-Schuster Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 17

Pittsburgh Steelers vs Kansas City Chiefs

 
 
 
JuJu Smith-Schuster Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-125/+105).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 6.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 3.5 @ +105.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Our trusted projections expect the Kansas City Chiefs to be the 4th-most pass-centric team among all teams this week with a 62.9% pass rate, based on their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.
  • The projections expect this game to see the 2nd-highest number of plays run among all games this week at 134.2 plays, accounting for the play styles of each team and game dynamics.
  • The Kansas City Chiefs have called the 2nd-most plays in the league this year, averaging a whopping 61.6 plays per game.
  • Calm weather conditions (like the 1-mph wind being predicted in this game) generally lead to better passing efficiency, increased TD potential, increased pass volume, and lower ground volume.
  • The Kansas City Chiefs O-line profiles as the 2nd-best in football this year in protecting the QB, which has a positive effect on all passing offense metrics across the board.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Juju Smith-Schuster has accrued far fewer air yards this year (10.0 per game) than he did last year (31.0 per game).
  • Juju Smith-Schuster's 11.6 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that quantifies high-value offensive usage) has been notably lower this year than it was last year at 27.8.

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