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JuJu Smith-Schuster

JuJu Smith-Schuster Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 15

Cleveland Browns vs Kansas City Chiefs

 
 
 
JuJu Smith-Schuster Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 13.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 16.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 13.5 @ -110.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • At the present time, the 2nd-most pass-centric offense in football (67.0% adjusted for context) according to the predictive model is the Kansas City Chiefs.
  • The model projects this game to have the most plays run out of all the games this week at 148.3 plays, based on the approaches of each team and game dynamics.
  • The Chiefs have called the 5th-most plays in football this year, totaling a monstrous 60.7 plays per game.
  • As it relates to pass-blocking (and the positive impact it has on all passing game stats), the offensive line of the Chiefs profiles as the best in football this year.
  • Juju Smith-Schuster's sure-handedness have improved this year, with his Adjusted Completion Rate rising from 64.6% to 79.2%.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • A rushing game script is implied by the Chiefs being a 4.5-point favorite this week.
  • Windy weather conditions (like the 17-mph being called for in this game) usually lead to worse passing effectiveness, reduced air volume, and higher ground volume.
  • Opposing teams have averaged 31.6 pass attempts per game vs. the Browns defense this year: 6th-fewest in the league.
  • Juju Smith-Schuster has compiled far fewer air yards this season (10.0 per game) than he did last season (31.0 per game).
  • Juju Smith-Schuster's 12.0 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that examines high-value offensive usage) has been substantially worse this season than it was last season at 27.8.

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