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JuJu Smith-Schuster

JuJu Smith-Schuster Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 9

New England Patriots vs Washington Commanders

JuJu Smith-Schuster Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 28.5 (+114/-157).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 25.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 28.5 @ +114.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The leading projections forecast the New England Patriots to call the 6th-most offensive plays on the slate this week with 65.5 plays, given their underlying play style and game dynamics.

Opposing QBs have averaged 37.8 pass attempts per game vs. the Commanders defense this year: 10th-most in football.

This year, the shaky Washington Commanders defense has surrendered a massive 203.0 adjusted receiving yards per game vs. opposing wideouts: the most in the league.

The Commanders pass defense has exhibited bad efficiency versus wide receivers this year, surrendering 10.29 adjusted yards-per-target to the position: the most in football.

As it relates to linebackers in defending receivers, Washington's unit has been very bad this year, projecting as the 2nd-worst in football.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The predictive model expects the Patriots to be the 6th-least pass-oriented team on the slate this week with a 55.7% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.

Juju Smith-Schuster's 47.3% Route Participation% this year conveys a remarkable drop-off in his pass attack workload over last year's 81.2% figure.

Juju Smith-Schuster has put up significantly fewer air yards this season (24.0 per game) than he did last season (44.0 per game).

The New England offensive line grades out as the 8th-worst in the league this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a negative impact on all passing attack stats across the board.

Juju Smith-Schuster has notched significantly fewer adjusted receiving yards per game (17.0) this season than he did last season (62.0).

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